Although mpox now mainly spreads from human to human, it originally spread from animal to human (zoonotic). It still spreads this way. Cases are often found close to tropical rainforests, as with the DRC, where there are animals that carry the virus. Mpox infection has been found in monkeys, as well as squirrels, Gambian pouched rats and dormice.
Mpox has been reported in the DRC for over a decade, with cases increasing each year. Last year, cases rose more sharply. Between January 2023 and the end of August 2024, the DRC reported more than 21,000 suspected cases, and 700 deaths. The majority of deaths (82%) have been reported in children under the age of 15.
Most of the DRC’s provinces have now reported cases of any strain. The new virus strain, clade Ib, which emerged last year is spreading rapidly. During August over 100 confirmed cases of clade Ib were also reported in four neighbouring countries—Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, and Uganda—that had not previously reported mpox. Experts believe the actual number of cases is likely to be higher since many suspected cases have not been tested.
The virus is thought to be spreading through sexual networks, as well as close household contacts, and in healthcare settings that lack sufficient personal protective equipment for workers.
On 14 August 2024 the WHO declared the most recent outbreak a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC). This means there is risk to public health internationally and a coordinated international response is required to try to prevent the further spread of the disease.
The WHO has started the process of speeding up the approval of mpox vaccines for use in emergencies. This will make it easier for countries, which haven't approved the vaccines yet to get access to them. It also allows organisations like Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance and UNICEF to buy and distribute these vaccines more quickly.
Previously in May 2022, when cases broke out globally, the outbreak mainly affected men who are gay, bisexual, or have sex with other men. But it is important to note that anyone can catch and spread mpox. The risk of severe disease is higher in young children, pregnant women, people with eczema, and immunosuppressed individuals, such as people living with HIV.
Mpox outbreak in the UK
Between 2018 and 2022, the UK had only a few cases of mpox; all were Clade II and originated from West Africa. The spread was effectively contained through quick diagnosis, isolation, and care at designated centres. Close contacts were quarantined and monitored, and post-exposure vaccination was recommended to prevent serious symptoms.
However, in April/May 2022, three separate cases of mpox were identified. The first case involved an imported case from Nigeria but this didn't lead to further transmission. The second case suggested local transmission (caught within the UK), with an initial case having no travel history infecting two household members.
The third incident seemed to indicate transmission primarily among gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men. By September 2022, over 3,500 confirmed cases had been reported, predominantly in London, with the majority affecting males. The outbreak shows connections to similar cases globally, including in Canada, Portugal, Belgium, and Germany.
Between 2023 and July 2024 there were 286 mpox cases in the UK, some of which were acquired in the UK, some overseas. To date, there have been no Clade 1b cases reported in the UK, although Thailand and Sweden have reported one case each.
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